Okay. You're about to see the grad student in me here. I like looking at data and analyzing it. I spent a little time this afternoon calculating possible results on our ECHO Facebook March Madness pool. Here are the current standings (Click on the standings to see them bigger):



What follows are the Facebook pool scores based on what teams make it to the Championship game, and of course, who wins it all. No one in our pool predicted UCLA or Georgetown would reach the Final Four, let alone win it completely . So if both of them make it to the Championship game, then our scores remain unchanged. Here are the current possible scenarios based on the scores found in the top link (Click on the scenarios below to see them bigger):

 

How to read the table: The top row in italics shows the 4 championship game possibilities depending on who wins in the Final Four. The two columns under each scenario are the total pool score counts that will occur if the team in bold wins the national championship. The bottom row tells you who in our pool will win under that specific scenario given the point count.

For example, if Florida and OSU go to the championship game, then you would look at the last two columns in the table. Under that scenario, Katie would win the pool with 144 points if Florida won the national championship, and James would win the pool with 131 points if OSU won. (The scoring is worth 15 points for each correct semi-final prediction, and 25 points for predicting the national champion correctly.)

Yeah, this is kinda dorky, but I thought it was interesting. Isn't it better to know your odds of winning at this point?

Edit (3/31): Point values for semi-finals and national champion corrected. Facebook has slightly different rules than Yahoo! The prediction table is now correct.

Comments  

 
#1 Jonathan 2007-03-27 05:10
Thanks for mathematically killing all hope I had. I knew my odds were slim, but I still thought I had a chance. Guess not. Without hopes of winning the pool, what reason do I have to watch the games? I mean what did people do before Tournament Pools and Fantasy Leagues?
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#2 peylin 2007-03-27 07:01
NERD-O. :D
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#3 peylin 2007-03-27 07:10
I wonder if you get emails saying you have new comments on your blog b/c I just caught up with reading your blog from the past week and left a bunch of commnts. Haha. I love leaving comments on people's blogs! :D
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#4 jimmy 2007-03-27 19:11
really, i stopped caring after texas lost. maybe if my bracket was even halfway decent.
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